Impact of the US-China Trade War on Sourcing in China
The manufacturing landscape in China has been significantly impacted by the ongoing US-China trade conflict and broader global economic downturns. As anticipated five years ago, trade tensions between the two nations persist, irrespective of changes in U.S. administrations. Structural imbalances in trade flow and market openness remain unresolved, prolonging uncertainty for American companies operating in China. The recent return of the Trump administration adds further unpredictability, making long-term planning for U.S. businesses even more challenging.
Opportunities for European Companies
While U.S. firms face growing risks, European companies may find strategic advantages in the shifting dynamics. Historically, Chinese manufacturers have preferred working with large-volume American buyers willing to pay premium prices. However, in the past year, we have observed greater flexibility from Chinese factories, including a willingness to accept smaller orders and technically complex projects. This shift presents an opportunity for European SMEs looking to establish or expand their sourcing operations in China. Additionally, raw material prices remain favorable, creating cost advantages for companies sourcing from China. However, businesses must be mindful of supplier stability, as manufacturers losing U.S. contracts may either shut down or pivot to new industries, posing potential risks for existing supply chains.